Well, ok, obviously several people in several governments are thinking about dropping bombs in Iran. I can even imagine a few groups of people who are preparing to provide the expertise required for making a fast strike, precision aerial assault possible. But, really? Iran?
Iran has no nuclear weapons. Iran does not even possess any atomic weapons. Granted they do possess a nuclear enrichment program and this provides the potential for generating atomic and nuclear weapons. Hey, you know what, you also have to have the capacity to deliver the atomic or nuclear device. Iran has some inter-continental range systems, but do they have the capacity to mate nuclear devices to these missiles? What sort of real ability to maintain and prepare such weapon systems for precision launch and orbital re-entry does Iran possess? The answer to both of the previous questions is not really, not much, not likely, really not worth worrying about.
Hey, I am a psuedo-realist, quasi-constructivist. So, my confusion and befuddlement at the looming real possibility of an Israeli strike or U.S. strike or support for an Israeli strike is real. Hey, I am not the only one questioning this apparent loss of reasoning ability on the part of many people in high places. Stephen Walt takes this question to task (read it here), while Robert Haddick says to expect Israel to strike this Spring (read it here). Haddick does not say this because it is fun to contemplate, but because even the SecDef of the U.S. thinks that Israel will strike.
Ok, so just my two cents, but hey slow down and think people. What is to be gained by starting another lengthy engagement in Southwest Asia? Have we not learned enough about fighting here? So what if Iran gets nukes, Israel has a few hundred already. Not defending the Iranian govt., much happiness in realizing I'll wake up in a country tomorrow morning where idiots and clerics don't run the country--well maybe idiots abound, but not really the same.
Iran has no nuclear weapons. Iran does not even possess any atomic weapons. Granted they do possess a nuclear enrichment program and this provides the potential for generating atomic and nuclear weapons. Hey, you know what, you also have to have the capacity to deliver the atomic or nuclear device. Iran has some inter-continental range systems, but do they have the capacity to mate nuclear devices to these missiles? What sort of real ability to maintain and prepare such weapon systems for precision launch and orbital re-entry does Iran possess? The answer to both of the previous questions is not really, not much, not likely, really not worth worrying about.
Hey, I am a psuedo-realist, quasi-constructivist. So, my confusion and befuddlement at the looming real possibility of an Israeli strike or U.S. strike or support for an Israeli strike is real. Hey, I am not the only one questioning this apparent loss of reasoning ability on the part of many people in high places. Stephen Walt takes this question to task (read it here), while Robert Haddick says to expect Israel to strike this Spring (read it here). Haddick does not say this because it is fun to contemplate, but because even the SecDef of the U.S. thinks that Israel will strike.
Ok, so just my two cents, but hey slow down and think people. What is to be gained by starting another lengthy engagement in Southwest Asia? Have we not learned enough about fighting here? So what if Iran gets nukes, Israel has a few hundred already. Not defending the Iranian govt., much happiness in realizing I'll wake up in a country tomorrow morning where idiots and clerics don't run the country--well maybe idiots abound, but not really the same.
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